Thursday, October 9, 2008

Poll-itics: Obama leads in West Virginia

By GottaLaff

UPDATE, from 538:

That's what American Research Group says; in fact, it gives Obama a rather large, 8-point lead in the Mountaineer State. I'd have to say that I'm very, very skeptical of this one until I see it confirmed by another polling agency; this is exactly the sort of quirky result that ARG is (in)famous for.
H/t: Everyone in Comments:

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, and Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - McCain and Palin, Obama and Biden (names rotated), or someone else?

West Virginia

McCain Obama Other Undecided

Likely voters 42% 50% 3% 5%

Democrats (55%) 20% 76% 2% 2%
Republicans (35%) 79% 10% 2% 9%
Independents (10%) 38% 50% 7% 5%

Men (48%) 49% 46% 3% 2%
Women (52%) 36% 54% 3% 7%

18 to 49 (53%) 40% 51% 4% 5%
50 and older (47%) 45% 50% 1% 4%

Sep 14-16 49% 45% - 7%

The bad news?
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