Monday, October 13, 2008

Gramm-pa McCain's manufactured momentum

By GottaLaff



What's going on here:
Something is a little bit funny when Matt Drudge is treating 1-2 point gains for McCain in the Rasmussen and Zogby tracking polls as "BREAKING" news.
Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has a theory:
The McCain campaign is planning on a major "reboot" of its campaign in some point in advance of Wednesday night's debate. This will take on something of the form that Bill Kristol advocates in his must-read Monday AM piece in the Times, including some combination of (i) pledging to run a positive campaign; (ii) firing/demoting Steve Schmidt and or/Rick Davis; (iii) apologizing for his campaign's tone. [...]

What the McCain campaign really, really doesn't want is for this move to be portrayed as desperate stunt. [...] ...and Bill Burton and Robert Gibbs must be foaming at the mouth waiting to spin something like this.

The only way for McCain to do that is for him to convince the media that he already had the momentum. [...] They will suggest that McCain found his voice, and made the "maverick" move of telling off the Beltway Republicans who were urging him to go for blood. They will suggest that the reboot is a continuation of this strategy, and that -- as the Zogby poll so obviously attests to! -- voters were already responding favorably to McCain's new tone.

[T]hey'd seem to have little left to lose, and if the media is reminded of the "old" McCain, they may tend to give his narrative the benefit of the doubt.
It's a level red alert. Grab the duct tape and plastic sheeting.

5 comments:

Clancy said...

Now that today's Gallup numbers are in, I'm sure that Drudge will be the first to acknowledge that perhaps he spoke too soon.

David G. said...

It won't work. People believe they already know John McCain and they don't like what they're seeing. D.

Anonymous said...

I just hope the undecided moderates don't fall for this crap!

Lucy said...

As I have said once today, Obama speaks to that thread of decency inherent in all of us.McCain wants to be known as an honorable man.I think at this point, he is trying to save his legacy, and that is noble. But, he was trying to drive the straight talk express while it was in a gutter with two wheels missing. He needs a pit stop to try to save his honor even if he loses the race. There is something more than winning.

legal alien said...

McCalamity is damned if he does change and damned if he doesn't.

Steady as he goes and he just sinks pitifully into oblivion.

Change and Obama will find it so easy to keep the Presidential aura of calm determination. Change and only that core 30% of die-hard Rep voters are sure to follow him. He will just confuse the others even more.

Ceaselessly surging serendipity, such sublime satisfaction!

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