Showing posts with label state polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label state polls. Show all posts

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Palin Popularity Plunges in Alaska


Oh what a difference being a twit brained idiot erm, being your party's Vice Presidential candidate can make! Via Taegan-

A new Hays Research poll shows Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) now has 54% positive rating and 42% negative rating among Alaskan voters.

That's a dramatic change from the 86% positive and just 9% negative a year ago.

By comparison, Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) now has an approval of 76.3%.

Monday, November 3, 2008

PPP Poll: Obama Barely Takes Lead in Indiana


I still say Obama takes Indiana by 3, but the fact that they're playing the Rev Wright ad every third commercial break here (on MSNBC no less) is pissing me off.

The final Public Policy Polling survey in Indiana shows Sen. Barack Obama just ahead of Sen. John McCain, 49% to 48%.

Key finding: "Like in many states Obama is going into election day with a strong advantage. A little under a quarter of likely voters have already cast their ballots and with those folks Obama has a 64-35 lead. John McCain is up 52-44 with those planning to vote on election day."

Final Quinnipiac: Obama Leads In Key Swing States


Almost too good to be true, but I'm enjoying the pundits trying to stretch this out into a horse race. Via Taegan.

The final Quinnipiac Swing State polls show Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. No one has been elected President since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states.

Florida: Obama 47%, McCain 45%

Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 43%

Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, McCain 42%

Said pollster Peter Brown: "Sen. Obama appears headed for the best showing of any Democratic candidate among white voters in a generation, going back at least to Jimmy Carter in 1976 and perhaps even to Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Race has been an issue, but green, not black or white, appears to be the color that matters most. Voters overwhelmingly say the economy is the major issue that leads to their vote and they see Sen. Obama as better able to handle the nation's money problems."

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Poll of Polls: McCain remains behind in key states


I'm telling you, polls close here in Indiana at 6p Tuesday. Keep your eyes on the Hoosiers.

(CNN)— With two days until voters pull the lever for their next president, the latest CNN averages of battleground state polls shows the race tightening, but Sen. McCain still has some ground to make up.

CNN’s new Colorado Poll of Polls shows Obama leading McCain by 6 points 51 percent to 45 percent; The last Colorado Poll of Polls –- released Saturday –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points.

An average of polls conducted in battleground Florida, shows Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 percent to 45 percent. Saturday's Florida Poll of Polls also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

In Iowa, where it all started for Sen. Obama, the Illinois senator is leading McCain by 14 points, 53 percent to 39 percent.

CNN’s new Minnesota Poll of Polls shows Obama leading McCain by 12 points, 52 percent to 40 percent; The last Minnesota Poll of Polls –- released October 30 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 13 points.

In New Hampshire, Obama is leading McCain by 11 points, 53 percent to 42 percent according to the latest CNN Poll of Polls. CNN’s last New Hampshire Poll of Polls –- released November 1 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 12 points.

CNN’s new average of polls in Pennsylvania shows the Democratic nominee leading the Republican nominee by 7 points, 51 percent to 44 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 1 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Finaly, in Virginia, a state that has voted Republican in every presidential race since 1968, Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 51 percent to 44 percent.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Poll: Obama surges in Colorado, makes gains on Electoral Map



Now what was the McCain pollster blabbing on about this afternoon? Oh, yeah, nothing. Watch the video above and see if you can figure it out.


(CNN)
— Does the road to the White House run through the Rocky Mountains? A new state poll in Colorado suggests that Barack Obama has doubled his lead over John McCain there, as the Democratic nominee claims more territory on CNN’s Electoral Map.

(snip)

Washington State is also being moved from lean Obama to safe Obama, though that move doesn't change the electoral count. The CNN Electoral College map is an estimate of what could occur if the election were held today. State polls, voting trends, campaign visits and advertising, are among the factors used in deciding the electoral college map.

(snip)

A CNN/Time/ORC poll released Wednesday also suggests that Obama is holding on to a strong lead in Virginia, with 53 percent of those questioned backing Obama and 44 percent supporting McCain. That 9 point lead is down from a 10 point lead Obama held in our last poll conducted in Virginia last week. No Democrat has won Virginia in a presidential contest since Lyndon Johnson carried the state in 1964.


Quinnipiac: Obama Maintains Lead in Swing States


Morning poll p0rn for thee!! Via Taegan.

The latest Quinnipiac Swing State Polls show the presidential race tightening somewhat in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, though Sen. Barack Obama still leads Sen. John McCain in all three states.

Florida: Obama 47%, McCain 45%

Ohio: Obama 51%, McCain 42%

Pennsylvania: Obama 53%, McCain 41%

Said pollster Peter Brown: "If - IF - Sen. Barack Obama can take Florida, he could match or come close to President Bill Clinton's re-election margin in 1996, carrying all three of the big swing states en route to rolling up 379 Electoral College votes. The last challenger to win the Big Three was Ronald Reagan, who tallied 489 Electoral College votes in his 1984 landslide."

Monday, October 27, 2008

Suffolk Poll: Obama Ahead in Florida


A little palate cleanser after hearing about that filth that plotted to kill Obama.

A new Suffolk University poll in Florida finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 49% to 44%.

Key finding: "The poll also asked about all of those who waited in hours-long lines to vote early, and among early voters, Obama crushes McCain, 60 to 40 percent."

Polls- Obama Still Up In Virginia, Iowa And New Hampshire


May I just say that I'd like to thank whoever told McCain to use that stupid Drudge pushed comment of Obama's from 2001 as an attack. The angry old man can't even read the script properly and sounds awful.

A new SurveyUSA poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 52% to 43%.

Key finding: "Those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted disproportionately vote for Obama."
There are two new Marist Polls out today from two battleground states:

Iowa: Obama 48%, McCain 40%

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, McCain 45%

String of CNN polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Brutal. Indiana is wrong btw.

(CNN) — Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

(snip)

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent — a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

Reuters/Zogby: Obama Leads in Key Red States


And Zogby usually leans conservative. Via Taegan.

A new Reuters/Zogby survey of eight battleground states shows Sen. Barack Obama ahead in the majority of them. President Bush won every one of these states four years ago.

Virginia: Obama 52%, McCain 45%

Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 45%

Nevada: Obama 48%, McCain 44%

Missouri: Obama 48%, McCain 46%

North Carolina: Obama 49%, McCain 46%

Florida: Obama 47%, McCain 47%

Indiana: McCain 50%, Obama 44%

West Virginia: McCain 50%, Obama 40%

Said pollster John Zogby: "McCain might be able to survive the loss of Nevada, but probably not any of the others."

Sunday, October 26, 2008

PPP Poll: Obama Leads By Nine in Virginia


Sunday morning poll p0rn. Via Taegan.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 52% to 43%.

There has been little movement in the state since PPP showed Obama leading there by eight points two and a half weeks ago.

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Rocky Mountain News Poll: Obama Surges in Colorado


I'm thinking the McCain camp saw some internal polls that looked like this right before they decided to pull out of Colorado.

A new Rocky Mountain News poll finds Sen. Barack Obama has surged to a commanding, double-digit lead in Colorado over Sen. John McCain, 52% to 40%, "amid soaring anxiety about the country's direction and a massive shift of independent voters into the Democratic column."

Friday, October 24, 2008

Miami Herald Poll: Obama Expands Lead in Florida


Nice. Let's just hope the trends keep on going this way.

A new Miami Herald poll in Florida finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 49% to 42%.

Key finding: "Boosting Obama: independent voters, who back him over McCain by a 57-22 percent margin -- a 38 point shift toward the Democrat since the last poll in September."

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Could Georgia Flip to the Democrats?


Okay people, this is starting to get surreal. What the hell?

According to a new Democracy Corps poll in Georgia, Sen. John McCain leads Sen. Barack Obama by just two points, 46% to 44%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Saxby Chambliss holds a four point edge over challenger Jim Martin (D), 48% to 44%.

"The Republican brand is tarnished in Georgia and a national wave threatens to carry the state to Democratic shores. Obama and Martin still trail and must make gains to win here, but the fact that Georgia is even close speaks to powerful political currents across the country."

Big Ten Battleground: Obama Leads in Key Midwestern States


I'm not so sure about that huge lead in Indiana, but I'd still think he is in the lead.

The latest Big Ten Battleground Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a ten point national lead over Sen. John McCain, 52% to 42%. In the individual midwestern states, Obama also has huge leads.

Illinois: Obama 61%, McCain 32%

Indiana: Obama 51%, McCain 41%

Iowa: Obama 52%, McCain 39%

Ohio: Obama 53%, McCain 41%

Michigan: Obama 58%, McCain 36%

Minnesota: Obama 57%, McCain 38%

Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, McCain 41%

Wisconsin: Obama 53%, McCain 40%

Said pollster Charles Franklin: "In September, we saw virtually the entire Big Ten as a battleground. Now Obama is clearly winning the Big Ten battleground. The dominance of the economy as a top issue for voters is the overwhelming story."

Quinnipiac: Obama Leads in Big Three


Early morning poll p0rn. Via Taegan-

With 12 days to go, a new Quinnipiac poll finds Sen. John McCain is narrowing the gap in Florida, but fading in Ohio and barely denting Sen. Barack Obama's double-digit lead in Pennsylvania.

Florida: Obama 49%, McCain 44%

Ohio: Obama 52%, McCain 38%

Pennsylvania: Obama 53%, McCain 40%

Said pollster Peter Brown: "As we enter the home stretch, Sen. Obama is winning voter groups that no Democrat has carried in more than four decades, and he holds very solid leads in the big swing states. If these numbers hold up, he could win the biggest Democratic landslide since Lyndon Johnson in 1964."
Map via Nate.

Monday, October 13, 2008

Fox News Poll: Obama Ahead in Key Red States


An aperitif for your pre-dinner enjoyment. Via Taegan.

The latest Fox News/Rasmussen poll shows Sen. Barack Obama holds a narrow advantage ranging from two to five percentage points in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Missouri, and he is tied with McCain in North Carolina. President Bush won all five of these states in 2004.

Florida: Obama 51%, McCain 46%

Missouri: Obama 50%, McCain 47%

North Carolina: Obama 48%, McCain 48%

Ohio: Obama 49%, McCain 47%

Virginia: Obama 50%, McCain 47%

Interesting Georgia Poll Results


Not totally discouraging.

A new SurveyUSA poll in Georgia finds Sen. John McCain ahead of Sen. Barack Obama by eight points, 51% to 43%.

Interesting: "Early and absentee voting began in Georgia on 09/22/08. Among the 18% of Georgia voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama leads by 6 points; among those who have not yet voted, McCain leads by 11."

Friday, October 10, 2008

Polls- Obama leads in North Carolina, Florida and Ohio


Morning poll porn.

North Carolina-

A new Civitas Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a five point lead over Sen. John McCain, 48% to 43%.

Key finding: "Obama's advantage comes from his increased share of unaffiliated voters where he has now opened up a 9 point lead (49% to 40%). He has also begun to solidify his base Democratic vote, shaving the percentage of Democrats voting for McCain down from 22% two weeks ago to 17% this week."
Florida and Ohio-
Two new Strategic Vision polls in key battleground states show leads for Sen. Barack Obama over Sen. John McCain.

Florida: Obama 52%, McCain 44%

Ohio: Obama 48%, McCain 46%

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