Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Poll Suggests Virginia Gov Race Not A Referendum On Obama


But that's not what the Villagers say, and they're always right. See, sometimes if you look behind the conventional wisdom like Greg does, the silly inconvenient facts shine thru.

But the internals of the new Washington Post poll in Virginia suggest that Obama may not really be an important factor at all. It finds:

* Seventy percent of likely voters say Obama is “not a factor” in ther choice. Only 15% say opposition to Obama is a factor, while 14%, say support for him is a factor.

* Seventy one percent say it makes “no difference” if the governor is from the same political party as the president. More people say it’s good to have a governor from the same party, 16%-13%.

* Obama’s approval rating in Virginia is 54%, in line with many national polls.

McDonnell is leading in this poll by 11 points, and if he wins, there will be a dull roar of commentary about what this means for Obama and his presidency. Obama has inserted himself into the race, and perhaps he’s more of an influence than these numbers suggest. Still, it’s unclear how you square these numbers with the notion that Obama is a major factor in any way.

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