By GottaLaff
Chuck Todd just now on MSNBC:
They're getting close to a deal: 69-59, cut in half (half-votes), plus, Obama would get both of the add-on superdelegates so they can say it's not a net of 5, but a net of 3 or 4. The Rules Committee would cut the deal.Todd: The Obama camp won't concede a Florida win, but a straw vote win at best. Harold Ickes said in a briefing, "delegates nominate, period." And Obama's about to get away with a very good delegate deal. ... Florida: She could net as many as 19 delegates. They'll seat them all, but they get half votes. 9 of the 13 Edwards delegates have pledged to Obama, so that's 4.5. So the 19 is a net of 15.5. So they may end up only netting 13-15 out of Florida. Michigan: Accepting 69-59 proposal, but at half-votes. The key for Obama camp to accept this is that he'd get both of the add-on superdelegates, who were vacant delegates up until now. The net in Michigan could be as little as a net of 3 if the superdelegates are at full strength. Obama would still be 200 ahead of her, maybe as little as 175. Likely net 15 Florida, 4 out of Michigan. The goal of the Obama campaign was to keep it to under 20 delegates.
But will superdelegates by half, or full, votes? That's what nobody knows yet.
Chris Matthews: Hillary gets to win these states, but Obama gets to win the whole deal.
And here comes the Committee, back from "lunch".
Chuck Todd: Florida-- 21-18 if half votes, 21-31 if they're full votes. The last 3 states, if evenly split 43-43 which is likely, then Obama is about 15-20 superdelegates away from crossing the finish line.
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