Monday, October 27, 2008

Poll-itics: GObama! edition

By GottaLaff

Remember when Chuck Todd said, "McCain folks say if they can get it to 4 nationally, then they can get there. But 7?... This goes ... to Obama looking at 325"? Looks like Gramm-pa has a way to go:


But why stop there?

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today, for whom would you vote? (Among likely voters)

[Graph]

John McCain is making no progress in his pursuit of the White House. Our model now projects Barack Obama to win 351 electoral votes to John McCain's 187, and to win the Electoral College 96.7 percent of the time to McCain's 3.3 percent. Both numbers are unchanged from yesterday.

Theme #1. If the national polls are tightening, there is no evidence of it in the state numbers. [...]

Theme #2. Obama has begun to run up the score in some non-battlegrounds. [...]

Theme #3. We are approaching a pollster consensus in some battlegrounds.

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